Intelligence Summary

Aleppo Clashes: Dec 2025 – Jan 2026

The sequence of events points to a calculated escalation prepared well before high-level diplomatic tracks in Paris, accelerating as Damascus viewed negotiations as a stalling tactic.

DEC 12
Turkish-Syrian military meeting; Gen. Tokel presents apparent military plan.
DEC 22
First clashes of this episode recorded in Sheikh Maqsoud pocket.
DEC 23
Pro-SDF groups issue joint statement; one dead and 23 wounded reported.
DEC 24
Damascus closes all movement in and out of the pocket.
DEC 26–27
Syrian army tanks deployed; new military positions documented.
DEC 29
Trump-Netanyahu meeting in Washington.
DEC 30
Syrian Chief of Staff al-Naasan in Ankara; drone strike on Ashrafieh.
JAN 04
SDF-Damascus talks end without breakthrough.
JAN 05–06
Syria-Israel talks in Paris; Turkish Foreign Minister joins.
JAN 08
Full assault on pocket; KCK and Abdi issue emergency statements.
JAN 09–10
Local forces reject evacuation orders; US envoy meets al-Sharaa.
Military Prep
Clashes
Escalation
Diplomatic